Earlier NorthPass reports “Report on low-energy building market situation, trends, and influencing factors" and “Country-specific market analysis, success factors, marketing approach, and market situation" focused on defining the market situation and the marketing approach for very low-energy houses in eight North-European countries.
This report presents three different scenarios of reaching the EU 2020 target (EPBD according to which all new buildings are expected to be nearly zero-energy buildings in year 2020). These three scenarios are the Fast Change scenario (reaching the EU 2020 target), the Change in Market Modes of Operation scenario (reaching the target already by 2016) and the Business as Usual scenario (failing in the EU 2020 target). Measures which need to be implemented in order to reach the targets of the three different scenarios in each country are presented in the report. Also the credibility of each scenario is discussed in the country chapters.