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Ireland’s Energy Projections 2017

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Ireland’s Energy Projections 2017 - Progress to targets, challenges and impacts


This report by the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI), presents projections of Ireland’s energy supply and use to 2035, based on the Economic and Social Research Institute’s (ESRI) latest economic outlook. The projections anticipate strong growth in energy demand, in line with the return to economic growth in the Irish economy. According to the results of the analysis, Ireland could fall short of the 2020 16% renewable energy target in all three scenarios modelled. In the Current Trajectory scenario, reflecting the most recent trends in energy efficiency and renewable energy deployment, the 2020 energy efficiency target will also be missed. This highlights the need for ongoing strong policy action to incentivise sustainable energy technologies and practices.


The results of this analysis highlight some challenges and risks associated with delivery of Ireland’s 2020 targets, specifically:


  • Between 300 MW and 350 MW of additional wind capacity must be installed every year
  • Supply of approximately 320 million litres of biofuels must be secured for blending with fossil fuels for transport, doubling the existing supply and increasing biofuel penetration to 8%
  • More large scale industrial and commercial sites must be encouraged to install renewable heat options
  • More homes and businesses must be upgraded for improved energy efficiency every year – and the depth of retrofit increased
  • Roll-out of electric vehicles must be accelerated 
  • High performance heat pumps could be encouraged in efficient buildings to shift further demand to the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and increase the renewable heat contribution.

For further information please visit the link below to download the full report.